Humans Soon To Be Extinct

… Say It Ain’t So Essay, Research Paper

Humans Soon to be Extinct… Say it ain’t so!!

by Ryan Shoquist English 121 Dr. Gilliard November 23, 1996

Table of Contents

Abstract……………………………….page

Body…………………………………..pages

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Appendix……………………………….pages

Structured List…………………….page

Figures……………………………page

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Abstract

Ever since Dewey McLean (1978) proposed a dinosaur extinction theory

that states that a climatic change killed the dinosaurs, it has become the

single most accepted theory for the dinosaur extinctions within the scientific

community. It is called the dinosaur- greenhouse extinction theory. It says

that a climate change via the greenhouse effect killed off the dinosaurs. My

paper takes this proposed theory and relates it to the world today. Some of the

things that happened back then are also happening now, and if the dinosaur-

greenhouse extinction theory is indeed true, then we are also in danger of dying

from the greenhouse vertebrate killing mechanism, abrupt atmospheric changes,

and the other effects caused by the increased greenhouse effect and people

should know about the consequences of what we are doing to the earth. My paper

examines the similarities occurring in the two time periods and the possible

results that we may soon be facing in the very near future. I am hoping that

exposure to the inevitable danger that we are soon going to be facing, will

spark action and concern within whomever reads my paper. It is a problem that

we all have tended to shrug off and not worry about, but if we don’t start

worrying about it soon, there will not be anyone around to worry about. The

time for action is now. We may still be able to change the future.

Humans Soon to Become Extinct? Can it be?

Roughly sixty-five million years ago a tremendous extinction of global

proportions hit the planet earth. This global extinction was so severe that it

has defined the boundary between two periods of geologic history called the

Cretaceous and the Tertiary periods. All but a few mammals on land and water

became extinct. (McLean,1978,p.1) The best known of these extinct animals from

this mass extinction are the huge and mighty dinosaurs. What killed them nobody

really knows and probably will never know, but scientist haven’t hesitated to

theorize about it. There have been theories ranging from human involvement to

disease to even aliens. However, of all the theories of the so called K-T

extinctions, the single most accepted theory is called The Volcano Greenhouse

Theory. This theory states that a chain of volcanoes in India, called “the

Deccan Traps”, released vast quantities of the greenhouse gas carbon dioxide

into earth’s atmosphere trapping heat from the sun, (McLean,1988,p.2) and

turning earth’s surface into “the hot, sterilizing, hell of a major greenhouse.”

(McLean 1981,p.1) If the dinosaurs did in fact die from the Volcano-Greenhouse

theory, then we are also in danger of becoming extinct from the Vertebrate

Killing Mechanism, abrupt atmospheric changes, and other results from the

greenhouse effect that they too died from.

The earth is what is referred to as a “Greenhouse Planet”. This means

that the earth is warmed by certain gases (fig a1) that without which our earth

would be as cold and barren as the moon, and unsuitable for even the most basic

life to exist. These greenhouse gases, mostly carbon dioxide and water vapor,

in the earth’s atmosphere trap heat from the sun causing the earth to be thirty

degrees warmer than it would be without them. (fig a3) (McLean, 1978, p.1) It

is this extra warmth that allows earth to harbor life.

Carbon dioxide was and still is released into the atmosphere

continuously by natural sources such as volcanoes, hot springs, fumaroles, and

geysers. The natural processes on the surface of the earth will absorb this

normal effect. (fig a9) Over long periods of time, the process was accepted and

became in balance with the earth. (McLean, 1985, p.1) Then a time of volcanic

activity arrived as the Deccan Traps of the late Cretaceous Period erupted and

the pieces had almost all fallen in place for a change.

Volcanic dust and CO2 was strewn into the upper atmosphere for a period

of around two hundred plus years. (McLean, 1985,p.1) This caused a time of

cooling on the earth due to the dust blocking out the sunlight. The dinosaurs

began to adapt to the climatic cooling from the volcanic dust very well. The

large body size of the dinosaur was beneficial on the cooling earth, because it

easily kept in their body heat allowing them to comfortably survive without

harboring their ability to find food. (McLean, 1995 p.1) It seemed as if they

were going to stay for a while.

Then the ash cleared and, that was when the whole process was thrown out

of balance. The carbon dioxide had been produced faster than the natural systems

could absorb it. Also, instead of coming down with the ash to the surface, the

carbon dioxide stayed in the upper atmosphere making it thicker and thicker. Now

embracing the greenhouse effect, the earth began to heat up like a hot oven,

triggering ecological instability the world over. (McLean, 1985, p.1)

The Dinosaur’s large size made it impossible for them to even make an

attempt to recover from this sudden increase in heat. (McLean 1995) Whereas the

thermal inertia contained in their bodies would have been a great benefit in the

cooler climate, their small surface to volume ratios were huge disadvantages in

the warming and caused the dinosaur’s bodies to essentially overheat. (p.1) A

smaller size, like that of the mammal, would have helped them to survive better.

(p.2)

The abruptness of all these circumstances wreaked havoc in the internal

systems of the dinosaurs causing the Greenhouse Vertebrate Physiological Killing

Mechanism (fig a16) to begin occurring. (McLean,1995) The Greenhouse-Vertebrate

Killing Mechanism states that climate triggers extinctions through it’s effects

on a species’ females. Here’s what happens. In response to the growing

environmental heat, a female’s body will give part of it’s blood supply away to

the skin surface to help get rid of excess bodily heat. The result of this

causes a reduction in the blood flow to the uterus of a pregnant female. (p.2)

Since the uterus is the place where the embryo gets all of it’s life providing

oxygen, food, water, and nutrients, the reduction in blood will make these

necessities less available and cause the embryo to die or become abnormal with

dwarfing abnormalities or mutations. (p.1) Large animals that couldn’t shed off

their excess heat, such as the dinosaurs, were the animals most effected. (p.1)

The same thing that happened to the dinosaurs during the K-T extinctions

is happening right now right in front of our own faces today as you read this,

and most of us don’t even know it. Like the dinosaurs, we have also just had a

cooling off period. (Broeker,1996,p.3) Volcanic eruptions are thought to be

responsible for the global cooling that has been observed. When large masses of

gas reach the stratosphere, the uppermost layer of the atmosphere, they produce

a worldwide cooling effect. (Volcanoes and Climate,96) The amount and extent of

this cooling action is dependent on the eruption size and it’s latitude. (Nasa,

1996) If it occurs in a place of great winds and air currents, then it will

spread differently than one not in an air current would have on the world and

have a different amount of a cooling or heating effect. (p.2)

The full extent of the current global warming probably hasn’t even come

close to reaching us yet. That is because the effects of the Mt. Pinatubo

eruption may just now be finally wearing off. (Nasa,1996) Due to the

overlapping cooling effects of Mt. St. Helens, El Chichn, and the Cerro Hudson

eruptions there was a continuing cool-off period that is just ending. (p.1) One

top meteorologist said (Broeker,1996) “If man made dust is unimportant as a

cause of climate change, then a strong case could be made that the current

cooling trend will give way to a pronounced warming induced by carbon dioxide.”

(p.1)

One thing though that has already begun to happen to us again is the

Greenhouse Vertebrate Killing Mechanism. Via this mechanism, summer heat kills

mammalian embryos on a vast global scale. (McLean 1995,p.2) That is why there

are more miscarriages in summer months than there are any other time of the year.

How many miscarriages it has actually caused cannot be accurately measured due

to the lack of a way to determine if they actually died from the mechanism.

Now another coincidence, just as with the dinosaurs, the greenhouse

gasses are once again increasing. (Fig a7, a8) Now though, instead of volcanoes

causing the increase, humans are indirectly causing the increase. (unep/umo/94)

Previously, the global climate was what changed the world, but now us humans are

changing the world by changing the climate. (p.2)

The principle change to date is within the makeup of the atmosphere.

(p.2) The greenhouse gasses carbon dioxide, methane, and nitrous oxide have

always formed a blanket around the earth. The problem is that we are making the

blanket much bigger by spitting out all these different gases into the

atmosphere and throwing the proportional amounts off into a state of confusion.

(p.2)

According to the British Medical Journal, there are four main human

causes of increased greenhouse gasses (1994). These are listed as follows:

combustion of fossil fuels: 57%

Agriculture: 19%

deforestation: 17%

industrial activities and waste: 8%

The greenhouse effect today has been caused by multiple gasses in the

upper atmosphere trapping long range radiation in the atmosphere and, therefore

raising it’s temperature. (Fig a3) (Iucc,1993,p.1)

Carbon dioxide is one of these primary greenhouse gasses and it’s

concentration has risen greatly since the industrial revolution began. in 1800

it was roughly two hundred and eighty parts per million as it had been for over

a million plus years. Currently it is at three hundred and forty parts per

million and still rising. If it keeps rising at it’s current rate, by the year

2100 the CO2 level will be as much as two thousand two hundred and forty parts

per million or as little as four hundred and twenty parts per million. (British

Medical Journal, 1994) As fig a4 and a6 show, there is a direct relationship of

the amount of CO2 in the air and the temperature of the earth.

“Carbon dioxide levels have climbed sharply in recent years. By some

estimates, global carbon dioxide emissions, mainly from burning of coal and oil,

will have increased sixty percent within the next two decades.” (Business week,

1996) The current rate is so fast that it is unprecedented in the entire

geologic world history.

Another danger to us humans is that the increased accumulation of carbon

dioxide in the air translates into the marine life. (fig a11) Because of the

added heat in the air, the ocean’s convection currents will change from taking

warm water to the poles and bringing down cold water to a more stagnant ocean.

This will then inhibit the ocean’s ability to absorb or deposit out carbon

dioxide. (Wunch,1988)

Accumulation of carbon dioxide in marine environments is known to have

grim effects on many marine animals (McLean,1996) because, the elevated carbon

dioxide levels disrupt the Ph balance of the internal fluids of the marine life

causing a medical condition called “narcotizing acidosis”. Basically their

body’s Ph becomes too acidic and kills them by taking away the hemoglobin’s

ability to carry oxygen essentially drowning them. (p.3) High carbon dioxide

levels also may cause metabolic arrest and reduction. (p.3) This means that they

wouldn’t be able to change food into energy or create the essential hormones or

chemicals their bodies need. Since the entire food chain of the world depends

upon marine life, this would be a catastropic event for all the world.

Bleaching of coral in Tahiti and reduced ocean circulation are a few of the

symptoms we have already begun experiencing. (Earthaction, 1996) We aren’t

just affecting ourselves anymore. Because of us, a change in the world is

evident, but when it will change is anyone’s guess.

Although nobody really knows exactly how things will change, scientists

can use data form what happened during the K-T extinctions of dinosaur days to

predict what will happen. One of the many changes predicted by scientists that

has already begun to happen, (fig a2) is an atmospheric temperature rise between

1.5 degrees C and 4.5 degrees C. That is a very small increase but as fig a12

shows, there is only a few degrees difference between today’s temperature and

the temperature of the last ice age. An increase of that magnitude will cause

the sea to rise (fig a13,a14) between 1.3 and 2.2 feet higher from melting snow

and ice. (British Medical Journal, 1994)

Although the sea level rise may seem small, the effects may be very

drastic. (fig a15) Large areas of agricultural land may become flooded, many

islands will disappear, death rates from heart disease and stroke will rise.

(British Medical Journal, 1994) Malaria, Rocky Mountain Spotted Fever (Fig a19)

and other temperature dependent diseases that travel by insect will be able to

become virulent at higher altitudes, latitudes, and in more places due to the

ability of the insects to survive in a greater area. (Fig a20) (Iucc,1993)

According to one researcher five of the numerous mosquito borne viruses now

common in hot countries, will become threatening in the U.S. if the world

temperature rises one half a degree. (p.1) Also, the earth’s entire biosphere,

(the thin film of life covering the earth) would be affected.

The biosphere depends on the rate of something called the Solar-earth-

Space-Energy-Flow (SES). (fig a18) (Mclean,1988) This is the method in which

earth sheds it’s heat into outer space. Greenhouse gases inhibit the SES from

occurring correctly. (p.2) The rate of release of carbon dioxide within the

earth by “mantle degassing” increases or decreases the earth’s ability to carry

out the process of SES. (Earthaction, 1996) The more carbon dioxide there is,

the harder that it will be for SES to occur, but a lack of it will make SES

occur too fast making the earth cool too quickly. (McLean,1995,p.2) Right now it

is happening too slowly causing the earth to heat up. Over long periods of time

systems adjust, but how much time do we really have?

No matter what all of this global warming stuff isn’t good for us humans.

Most people don’t recognize the threat but a few do. Dewey McLean gave a speech

to the Senate where he stated,

“A major carbon cycle perturbation is the most dangerous global scale

phenomenon that life on earth can experience. Today, our civilization is facing

a possible modern greenhouse. Via the greenhouse-physiological killing mechanism,

the direct effects of the greenhouse warming upon the female mammals and embryos

can go in one direction only. That is toward increased embryo death, reduction

of mammalian populations, and collapse of mammalian populations in the

vulnerable middle latitudes.” (McLean,1988,p.4) Earth’s surficial systems are

never truly stable, and must continually adjust to the fluctuations in the

atmosphere. Although modest fluctuations may be absorbed, major ones that go

above a critical threshold force systems to find a new configuration. Those

systems that do not find a new configuration cease to exist and die off.

(McLean, 1988)I really hope that humanity isn’t a part of one of those systems

that cannot find a new configuration.

Since we may be going extinct, we must do something now. Not next year

or ten years away. Now! The world government needs to propose and enforce strict

regulations. The scientific community needs to find methods to slow or reverse

the trend. Auto makers have a responsibility to create alternative fuels and

methods of travel such as electric cars and to cut emissions from their vehicles.

It is the end of the world as we know it and we all must do our own part to

save it. The time for action has come. It’s now or never. If something is not

done, there will be no future and no more life. Only the death of the human

race and the other beings on the earth.

Bibliography

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Appendix

Structured List

I. Dinosaurs

extinction theory

causes

proof

chronology

problems

II. Greenhouse effect

Similarities to K-T extinctions

proof

medical danger

results

causes

III. Prevention

Problems

Proof